Kallio
NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Fed cut 25 bps by September 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcísio win Brazil's 2026 presidential race?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Fed holds rates flat after September 2026 meeting?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Fed raise 25 bps by September 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does an AI math model produce formally unverifiable proofs by Q4 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Did OpenAI agents attack RubyGems without disclosure by now?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Do 60% of your $220 Google app ad installs trace back to bot farms?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does EPA gut public review rules for data center pollution by summer 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Google's anti-scraping update break third-party SEO tools by October 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Do educational institutions adopt Logo programming as a core CS curriculum by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does GrapheneOS release its rewritten Messages app before December 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does a formal design space paper on async/await adoption drive language changes by 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does a Show HN post about bodily oddities hit 500+ comments by 24 hours?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Fed cuts 25bps by September 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Tarcisio wins Brazil 2026 election?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Fed raises 25bps by September 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

SKIPPED—invalid question

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Fed cut 25 bps by September 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcísio win Brazil's 2026 presidential race?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Fed holds rates flat after September 2026 meeting?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Fed raise 25 bps by September 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Fable crack the Cyphral Distich by next month?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Is Google still running sketchy ad networks by Q4 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Do Astra and Fable still exploit 2025 eval hacks by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Are car OEMs still selling driver data to third parties by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Signal launch registration without phone numbers using zero-knowledge proofs?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Julia 1.13 meaningfully improve on 1.12?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Reverse Asteroid spacecraft launch by end of 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Apple ship Dimensional Drawings before 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does CUDA-on-AMD Windows roll out by Q2 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Fed cut 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcísio de Freitas win Brazil's 2026 presidential race?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Fed hold rates flat at the September 2026 meeting?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Fed raise 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Steam Deck successor launch below $1200 this year?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Is X suspended by the end of 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Apple ship iOS 27, iPadOS 27, and macOS 27 by September 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Did OpenAI's crawlers detect the RubyGems cache vulnerability before disclosure?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Pion actually run a company autonomously by end of 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Ask HN September 2026 thread reveal major AI or crypto breakthroughs?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Do distributed systems papers from 2017 remain essential reading by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Do charts built for chat UI outperform dashboard interfaces by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does formal mathematics education fundamentally change by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcísio actually win Brazil's 2026 race or does Lula's machine grind him down?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does this e-ink bird-drawing frame actually work or is it a vaporware art project?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

SportsCloses in Closed

Is a passenger-only flight sim actually fun or just the world's most boring demo?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Are these System One models actually faster reasoning or marketing for inference speed gains?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is the Wayback Machine actually coming back or are we stuck with partial access forever?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Netherlands rail sabotage actually point to coordinated infrastructure attacks or just one person?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Gemini 3.8 Live actually beat Claude for real-time conversation or is it a latency trick?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Can we actually make quality the norm again or are consumers just too broken to care?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Capsule's SQLite-in-the-browser model actually replace backend infrastructure or is it a toy?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does this Linux GPU driver for M4 actually work or is it a university project that dies in maintenance?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does breaching Baseten's GitHub actually expose user data or just internal tools?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Apple's Reference Image approach actually solve photo verification or just create a new tool to fake?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Rheinmetall open-sourcing weapon tech actually help innovation or just hand blueprints to adversaries?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Are you actually bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes or did the hype just wear off?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcisio actually win 2026, or does Lula's machine grind him down before summer?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does this e-ink bird frame actually ship before the Kickstarter refund deadline?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

SportsCloses in Closed

Does a 4B model beat Postgres query planning by 81% this quarter?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Renan Santos actually crack 15% by the 2026 primary, or is he a distraction play?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Nvidia's Rust support actually get adopted by 2025, or stay a demo forever?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Do 'small programming tricks' actually save dev time or is this just code golf for resume padding?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Xiaomi's Mimo 2.6 dashboard actually speed up training or just make slow training *look* better?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Are AWS Middle East backups actually lost, or is this PR theater for compliance reasons?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Do .NET 11 performance gains actually matter for typical enterprise apps, or just benchmarks?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is 'Backups Aren't Simple' warning about a specific failure mode or just stating the obvious?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does breaking the 1.58-bit barrier for ternary LLMs actually enable something useful this year?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the SPR engineering story reveal anything we didn't already know about US energy strategy?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is Japan's bookstore decline a genuine shift to libraries or just poverty economics?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Do recovered US driver license signing keys actually compromise every ID in America, or just theory?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does OpenSpec actually get used by anyone building real systems, or is it another framework graveyard?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcisio de Freitas win Brazil's 2026 presidential race?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Hister actually secure private search better than existing options?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Renan Santos win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Fujitsu's MONAKA chip actually compete with US/Taiwan processors by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Astra for Law actually reduce lawyer billing hours this year?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Bend actually prevent AI mistakes through proof verification by mid-2025?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Bonsai 2 27B actually deliver 9x compression without major quality loss?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does wax motor technology actually scale for industrial use by 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the OpenAI repo breach actually expose material training secrets by month's end?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does refusing to sign the Fields medallists' letter actually hurt the signatory's credibility by 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Qwen 3.8 Omni Flash actually match GPT-4 speed on reasoning tasks this quarter?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the CrowdSec source code leak actually destroy their business model by Q2 2025?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does writing with LLMs actually reduce professional output quality by end of year?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does mathematics actually prevent a return to Medieval-era information secrecy by 2030?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does United Russia stay on top in the next Russian parliamentary election?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is Android 17 the first post-3.x release adding new APIs without hitting AOSP?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

SportsCloses in Closed

Do sub-30MB automation models match DeepSeek V4 Flash on real benchmarks?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential race?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Are Cloudflare Quick Tunnels actually production-safe for enterprises this quarter?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Renan Santos pull off the 2026 Brazilian presidential upset?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is OpenJev's API surface actually stable for new integrations before year-end?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Can most writers actually improve output using LLMs as collaborative tools this year?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Do optimization hacks actually save another 100TB of RAM in production clusters this cycle?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Minimal Phone 2 actually ship with meaningful privacy wins vs flagship degoogled phones?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is the newly discovered cat species actually genetically distinct or just a regional variant?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does photon-guided laser fault injection actually compromise RP2350 Secure Boot by year-end?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does San Francisco Onion Futures Company actually launch trading before spring 2025?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is the brain-as-two-organs finding actually replicating or just Stanford marketing momentum?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does the Warez documentary actually hold up as cultural critique or just nostalgia-porn?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Did OpenAI actually use LLMs to design chips or just cherry-pick the narrative?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does United Russia lock down the most seats before the 2026 cycle closes?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Can AI posters actually look intentional by year-end?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcisio own the 2026 Brazilian presidency?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Did non-autoregressive RL decision models actually work a year back?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Renan Santos crack the 2026 Brazilian presidency?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Can you actually exfiltrate weights without detection by Q2?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Will math culture actually celebrate non-proof work by 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is Brood War speedrunning hitting a wall by summer?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does Zig actually feel faster than Rust in practice?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does 'an' before vowel sounds actually need defending in 2025?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Can censorship measurement get accurate enough to matter by 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Do authors actually give honest feedback on their own work by fall?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Is RSA-896 actually broken before 2027?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Do Btrfs/ZFS/bcachefs find real wins on skipped workloads by Q4?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does int overflow cheese the Dream Devourer before year-end?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does United Russia lock down the most seats in the next Duma election?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Exfiltrate Your Weights

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcísio win Brazil's 2026 presidential race by runoff?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Qwen Image 2.1

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Renan Santos actually mount a 2026 Brazil presidential run?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

AX – Google’s Open Agentic Orchestrator

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Samsung actually double HBM4 output by late 2025?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

What happened to the Snowden archive

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Spain orders blocks on Archive.today and its mirrors

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Singapore’s National Library Board offers micropayments to build reading habits

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

I am often wrong

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is Sherline Tools actually closing down this year?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

The Effect of CRTs on Pixel Art (2024)

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

The LLMentalist Effect (2023)

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Why do we need human mathematicians anymore?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Tarcisio actually win Brazil's 2026 election?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Does MiMo v2.6 actually fix the core problems?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

PoliticsCloses in Closed

Does Renan actually beat Tarcisio in 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Is transformer attention actually the bottleneck now?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Did this person actually write what they claim?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

What major blind spot did Sun overlook?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does Grok 4.7 ship on schedule this quarter?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Do spymarks actually defeat watermark evasion before 2026?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Does visual transformer explanation actually clarify the mechanism?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Is NASA's Mars Sample Return actually dead this cycle?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Should users actually disable Apple Intelligence completely?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

Tap to lock your call · Team CHAOS

NewsCloses in Closed

Did reworking CI actually solve the bottleneck or just move it?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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NewsCloses in Closed

Are Python Workers actually ready for production use?

YES
50% crowd
NO
50% crowd

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Can frontier AI actually run meaningfully on local hardware?

YES
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Does Renan Santos win Brazil's presidency before 2027?

YES
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Claude Opus 5.5 ships and beats GPT-4o on reasoning benchmarks?

YES
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Does Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidency?

YES
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OpenAI releases Claude Opus 5.5 competitor before Q3 2025?

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GPT-6 decrypts the 2005 Enigma message within one month of release?

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Pentagon admits AI-reliance failure caused Iran school airstrike this quarter?

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Hackers release verified FBI employee database before end of month?

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How fast does AMD Ryzen get 50% faster in two years?

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Does Microsoft revive FoxPro as a commercial product within 3 years?

YES
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Is OpenAI positioned to fast-follow a competitor's AI breakthrough?

YES
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Claude Opus 5.5 beats GPT-4o on price-to-performance by Q2 2025?

YES
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Do security experts agree SAML is fundamentally broken by end of Q1 2025?

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Do California's solar-over-canal systems reduce water evaporation by 20% this year?

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Do WordPress RCE vulnerabilities get patched before active exploitation this week?

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Does Renan Santos become Brazil's next president by 2026?

YES
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Does Claude crack a CRISPR-adjacent enzyme breakthrough this year?

YES
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Is Tarcísio de Freitas winning the 2026 presidential race?

YES
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Does the Portobello clock get fixed by summer?

YES
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Does Italy's parliament vote to restart nuclear energy before 2026?

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Does Meta ship functional VR glasses this year?

YES
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Does Snapdragon X2 get native Linux support by Q3?

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Does Gemini 3.8's text-to-speech hit production-quality naturalness?

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Are AI tokens actually becoming too cheap to meter by 2026?

YES
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Does VSCode's SSH Agent hit mainstream adoption in 2025?

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Does ArXiv secure multiyear nonprofit funding commitments this year?

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Does Tailscale's performance jump measurably by year-end?

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Was the 2003 Windows XP box actually a technical accomplishment?

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Do Windows scroll bar shortcuts actually matter in 2025?

YES
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Can open-source desktop actually get modernized by 2027?

YES
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Does Renan Santos become Brazil's next president by 2026?

YES
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Is F-Droid 2.0 actually faster than the original by spring?

YES
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SportsCloses in Closed

Does Catan become the board game alpha nerds actually play by 2027?

YES
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Does Tarcísio de Freitas win Brazil's 2026 presidential race?

YES
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Do cursed fonts like Times New Bastard become trendy before Q3 2026?

YES
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Does the UK actually implement two-tier encryption by 2027?

YES
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Can scientists explain why livers regenerate so fast by next fall?

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Is Rails World 2026 keynote actually worth watching this May?

YES
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Does wandering Tokyo on Google Maps become a mainstream hobby by 2027?

YES
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Does Toyota's electric Corolla actually outsell the gas version by 2028?

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Is Whiteboard (YC W26) actually used for real design work by next year?

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Does Fearless SIMD v1.0 actually make Rust SIMD approachable by spring?

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Can Opus 5.5 actually make better explainer videos than humans by fall?

YES
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Does California's wealth exodus actually accelerate before 2027?

YES
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Does 2D gaming actually make a comeback as mainstream by 2028?

YES
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PoliticsCloses in 17h 26m

Does Renan Santos actually win Brazil's 2026 presidency?

YES
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Does news break that OpenAI agents actually breached Hugging Face systems?

YES
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Does Tarcísio de Freitas win Brazil's 2026 presidency?

YES
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Do appeals courts actually uphold Anthropic supply-chain-risk designation?

YES
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Does Ollama actually become the open-source decision-model backbone this year?

YES
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Is 'plan mode' in AI agents actually dead before 2026?

YES
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Does first-principles thinking actually move the needle in AI development?

YES
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Do juries actually hold Facebook liable for Cambridge Analytica deception this cycle?

YES
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Does someone actually deploy a working Pokémon Red solver this quarter?

YES
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Is gravity actually holographic, and does it break reality as we know it?

YES
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Is an operating system even a meaningful concept anymore in 2025?

YES
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Does Excel's multi-value cell feature actually change how people work?

YES
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Does Flock Camera data actually cause more false arrests before regulations exist?

YES
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Does Microsoft actually abandon personal AI chatbot race with Copilot reboot?

YES
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Does Renan Santos pull off the 2026 Brazilian presidency?

YES
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Does NewPipe's SponsorBlock fork actually gain real traction by mid-2026?

YES
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Does Tarcisio de Freitas become Brazil's next president in 2026?

YES
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Does Apple Card's true origin story finally surface by 2030?

YES
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Is Georgism actually solving real problems by 2030?

YES
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Does Reladraw actually ship as a practical tool by end of 2026?

YES
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Does ASML actually ship zero units to Europe through 2026?

YES
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Does DeepSeek's elastic compute actually disrupt the GPU cartel by 2027?

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Do programmers stay engaged with code once LLMs write 80% of it by 2027?

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Does the Go Concurrency book actually change how engineers build systems by 2027?

YES
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Does teaching actually change permanently once AI does students' homework by 2027?

YES
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Does a searchable library of 1915+ public-domain film actually get built by 2028?

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Does Yemen's actual size get accurately measured and agreed on by 2026?

YES
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Does Drawgent's live Excalidraw agent actually work productively by mid-2026?

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